American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
2 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
3 ZHAO ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
3 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 2%
5 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
6 CHEN Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
7 MAXWELL Taiga 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
8 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
9 YAO Irvine 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% < 1%
10 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
11 LI Nolan 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
12 NG Remy 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
13 LEE Taeryum 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
14 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
15 WHITE Leonardo 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
16 LEE Asher 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
17 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
18 WANG carson 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
19 KIM Ian 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
20 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
21 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
22 ZHU David 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
23 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
24 MAURAIS JP 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% -
25 GOH Cayden 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
26 OLELE Chibuikem 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
27 TANG Jayce 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
28 WANG William 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
29 SUK Kwon 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
30 ZHANG Leo 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
31 LI Sean 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
32 WANG Henry 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
33 TANG Jake 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
34 ZHANG Jacob 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
35 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
36 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
37 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
38 YIN Xiangheng 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
39 LOGINOV Iurii 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
40 MAK Nolan 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
41 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
42 LEE Sehryum 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
43 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
44 LEONARDIS Jordan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
45 MILLER Brodrick 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
46 ADEN Xiyan 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
47 BEZRODNOV Artemi 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
48 YANTZ Rhys 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
49 GAO Kevin 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
50 CHEUNG Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
50 ZHU Kingsley 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
52 DUDDA Kavin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
53 LEE Derek 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
54 XIE Vasco 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
55 SHYU Brady 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
56 LUO Sebastian 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
57 MALIK Nouman 100% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
58 POTAPOV Georgii 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
59 CHARNA Luca 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
60 HONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
61 CHEN Caleb 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
62 ZHU Peter 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
63 BACON Bryce 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
64 YAN Milan 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
65 CHEN Bao 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
66 JORDAN JR. Louis 100% 100% 85% 43% 10% 1%
67 YANTZ Stosh 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
68 AU Wesley 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
69 LAW Benjamin 100% 65% 25% 5% 1% - -
70 LEE Zachariah 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
71 THAMBI Eshwar 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.