American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AGARWAAL Yohan - - - - 5% 28% 67%
2 CHANG Ethan - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 1% 13% 86%
3 KIM Junseong - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
5 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
6 SLAVNOV Anton - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
7 LEVY Daniel - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
8 MIAO Heqi - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
9 LAU Kyrus - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
10 ISAYENKO Daniel - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
11 SHAPIRO Leo - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
12 IP Hunter - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
13 SUN Stephen 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
14 LIU Jayden - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
15 TAKEBE Ren - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23% 1%
16 CHEN Luca 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
17 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
17 BLAIR Campbell - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
19 LIANG Morgan - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
20 HENDERSON Louis - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
21 ALUF Brendon - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 10%
22 WU Vincent - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
23 D'AMELJ Edoardo - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
24 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
25 BEAL Colton - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
26 SONG Aidan - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 11%
27 MALEK Zak - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
28 BROOKS Drake - 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 6%
29 BROOKS Isaac - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
30 ZHANG Howard - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
31 AVERY Marcus - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
32 HAHN EVER - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
33 BIVIJI Adam - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
34 PARK Sean - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
35 STOLCKE Julian - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
36 LI Kent 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
37 YI Andrew - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
38 TITOV Zachary - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
39 BRADY Jack - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
40 MOGUNOV Alan - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
41 LI Lucas 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
42 LEE Aiden 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
43 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 5% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
44 BURENKOV Matthew - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
45 SABINO Bennett 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
46 LI Derek - 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 1%
47 HUANG KIMBALL 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
48 MESSINGER Joshua 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
49 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
50 ATA Kevin - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
51 ALUF William - - 2% 11% 35% 42% 11%
52 PATEL Rohan 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
53 FAZELINIA Erfaan 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
54 GILBERT Ari - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
55 PARK Layne - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
55 HU Simon - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
57 MOROAICA Seiku 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
58 BURNS Carson 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
59 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
60 SUH Jordan - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3%
61 NARAYAN Rishi - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
62 HAN ZHENMING - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
63 GAW Zachary 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
64 TAK Sion 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
65 CHAN Ewan - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
66 SONG Ryan 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
67 FIELDS Eli - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14% 1%
68 MAKLIN David 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
69 DMYTRUK Alexander 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
70 CHEN Ryan 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
71 ZHANG Mark - 10% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
72 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
73 ZHAO Alexander 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
74 TAK Kion 3% 23% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
75 LAN Jasper 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
76 BADMUS David - 10% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
77 SEDAKA Dylan 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
78 MIDDELBEEK Maarten 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
79 CHEN Mark 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
80 LEISTNER Armin 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
81 TERENTIEV Michael - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
82 BALBALE Zayd 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
83 ARUN Viyaan 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
84 CHEN Tyler 37% 44% 16% 2% - - -
85 DAI Ethan 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
86 BASU MALLICK Sannibh 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
87 LI Sebastian 3% 28% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
88 ZHANG Leaf 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
89 VINCENT Yijia 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
90 MITCHELL Lorne 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
91 LEE Jeffrey 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
92 HONG Isaac 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
93 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
93 HO Alexander - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7% -
95 WERNER Jonah 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
96 MCCABE Donovan 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
97 KONG Ethan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
98 WANG William 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
99 XU Jayden 37% 49% 12% 1% - - -
100 GAW Christian 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
101 SUN Leonard 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
102 PARROCO Jacob 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
103 MARTIRE Francis 16% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
104 JAVAID Ibrahim 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
105 OLSON Prescott 72% 25% 3% - - - -
105 LI Felix 38% 49% 12% 1% - - -
107 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
108 KUTTIN Aadith 2% 14% 30% 31% 18% 5% 1%
108 LEE Davis 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
110 KATZ Isaac 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
111 SASSI Skander 80% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.