American Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
5 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
6 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
7 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
8 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
9 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
10 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
11 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
12 IP Hunter 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
13 SUN Stephen 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
14 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
15 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 1%
16 CHEN Luca 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
17 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
17 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
19 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
20 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
21 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 10%
22 WU Vincent 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
23 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
24 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
25 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
26 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
27 MALEK Zak 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
28 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
29 BROOKS Isaac 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
30 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
31 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
32 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
33 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
34 PARK Sean 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
35 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
36 LI Kent 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
37 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
38 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
39 BRADY Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
40 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
41 LI Lucas 100% 98% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
42 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
43 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
44 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
45 SABINO Bennett 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
46 LI Derek 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
47 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
48 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
49 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
50 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
51 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 11%
52 PATEL Rohan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
53 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3% -
54 GILBERT Ari 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
55 PARK Layne 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
55 HU Simon 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
57 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
58 BURNS Carson 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
59 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
60 SUH Jordan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
61 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
62 HAN ZHENMING 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
63 GAW Zachary 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
64 TAK Sion 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
65 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 94% 73% 33% 6%
66 SONG Ryan 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
67 FIELDS Eli 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
68 MAKLIN David 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
69 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
70 CHEN Ryan 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
71 ZHANG Mark 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
72 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
73 ZHAO Alexander 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
74 TAK Kion 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
75 LAN Jasper 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
76 BADMUS David 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
77 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
78 MIDDELBEEK Maarten 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
79 CHEN Mark 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
80 LEISTNER Armin 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
81 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
82 BALBALE Zayd 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
83 ARUN Viyaan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
84 CHEN Tyler 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
85 DAI Ethan 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
86 BASU MALLICK Sannibh 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
87 LI Sebastian 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
88 ZHANG Leaf 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
89 VINCENT Yijia 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
90 MITCHELL Lorne 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
91 LEE Jeffrey 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
92 HONG Isaac 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
93 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
93 HO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
95 WERNER Jonah 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
96 MCCABE Donovan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
97 KONG Ethan 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
98 WANG William 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
99 XU Jayden 100% 63% 14% 1% - - -
100 GAW Christian 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
101 SUN Leonard 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
102 PARROCO Jacob 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
103 MARTIRE Francis 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
104 JAVAID Ibrahim 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
105 OLSON Prescott 100% 28% 3% - - - -
105 LI Felix 100% 62% 13% 1% - - -
107 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
108 KUTTIN Aadith 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
108 LEE Davis 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
110 KATZ Isaac 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
111 SASSI Skander 100% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.