Apex Novice Cup - April

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 98% 80% 38% 6%
2 SOMAN Indraa 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
3 HOLLANDER Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 8%
3 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
5 LU Sophie 100% 84% 45% 13% 1%
6 BAILEY Penelope 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
7 SILVA Hailey 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
8 SOMAN Nabha 100% 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1%
9 KOVACS Emmett 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
10 DINESH KUMAR Nishanth 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
11 PETERSON Jack 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
12 HOIMES Eliana 100% 87% 46% 9% 1% -
13 MCGAHAN Clayton 100% 83% 31% 4% -
14 BUTTGEREIT Easton 100% 96% 68% 20% 2%
15 XU Aaron 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1%
16 BRILLIANT Mabel 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
18 RIVERA Eli 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
19 BRILLIANT Asher 100% 66% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.