Penelope Bailey

2012

Apex Fencing Academy

Win/Loss Statistics

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 18 8 - - - 26
Losses 80 19 - - - 99
Win Ratio 18.4% 29.6% - - - 20.8%
Pool Victories 17 6 - - - 23
Pool Losses 63 15 - - - 78
Pool Win Ratio 21.2% 28.6% - - - 22.8%
DE Victories 1 2 - - - 3
DE Losses 17 4 - - - 21
DE Win Ratio 5.6% 33.3% - - - 12.5%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Easy wins† 5 2 - - - 7
Easy wins as % of wins 27.8% 25.0% - - - 26.9%
Close wins‡ 4 4 - - - 8
Close wins as % of all wins 22.2% 50.0% - - - 30.8%
Close losses‡ 5 4 - - - 9
Close losses as % of all losses 6.2% 21.1% - - - 9.1%
Big losses† 56 9 - - - 65
Big losses as % of all losses 70.0% 47.4% - - - 65.7%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Events

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Events 17 4 - - - 21
Tournaments 13 4 - - - 17

Competition History

Apex Novice Cup

Y-12 Women's Foil (U, Y12), April 27, 2024
Place 6, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 SWIFT Madeleine 9 U 10 Apex Fencing Academy 1398 655 26.2 17%
Pool L 2:5 LEE isabella 6 U 2 All-American Fencing Academy 2226 681 0.7 1%
Pool L 3:5 SOMAN Indraa 3 U 3 Forge Fencing 796 680 15.0 42%
Pool W 5:2 IRIZARRY Nyla 2 U 7 Apex Fencing Academy 1706 665 42.4 5%
T8 L 6:15 LEE isabella 6 U 2 All-American Fencing Academy 3168 694 0.9 < 1%

NoVA Knights RYC/RJCC& NON-REGIONAL VET

Y-12 Women's Foil (U, Y12), April 21, 2024
Place 24, Seed 19, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 SUN Erin 7 U 11 Invicta Sports 399 724 27.2 70%
Pool L 2:5 WANG Allyson 20 U 15 AIC Fencing Club 1033 696 11.3 29%
Pool L 0:5 HAFEZ Sahar 2 89 U 3 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 1290 685 6.7 16%
Pool L 2:5 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 16 U 17 Chesapeake Fencing Club 993 678 11.5 30%
Pool L 1:5 REILLY Carys 18 U 12 OnTarget Fencing Club 933 667 12.3 33%
T32 L 2:15 SMOLICH Emily 25 U 7 Research Triangle Fencing 1794 708 14.2 5%

NoVA Knights RYC/RJCC& NON-REGIONAL VET

Y-14 Women's Foil (C1, Y14), April 20, 2024
Place 17, Seed 10, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 19 U 15 Chesapeake Fencing Club 1005 747 14.4 34%
Pool L 3:5 MARTIN Mila 4 185 E23 3 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 1670 733 3.5 7%
Pool W 5:2 SOMAN Indraa 9 U 19 Forge Fencing Teams 894 729 24.6 39%
Pool L 3:5 LU Zoe 16 U 10 Invicta Sports / Royal Fencing Academy 1026 754 13.4 33%
Pool L 1:5 KUTATELADZE Anna 15 U 11 Epic Fencing Club 950 740 14.6 37%
Pool L 1:5 PINEDA jade luna 3 123 D23 2 Doral Fencing Club 1776 726 2.3 4%
T32 L 3:15 IBRAHIM Yara 20 U 16 Apex Fencing Academy 1330 753 45.6 20%

North Carolina DII/III/Y14 Qualifiers

Y-14 Women's Foil (U, Y14), March 24, 2024
Place 3, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 HOFF Divya 3 U 1 Apex Fencing Academy 853 758 18.8 44%
Pool W 5:1 LUEKEN Adelina 1 U 2 Apex Fencing Academy 165 739 8.3 82%
T4 L 12:15 LUEKEN Adelina 1 U 2 Apex Fencing Academy 928 856 102.6 46%

Apex Novice Cup

Y-12 Mixed Foil (U, Y12), February 24, 2024
Place 7, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 JOSEPH Rachel 7 U 9 Apex Fencing Academy 950 785 17.3 40%
Pool W 5:2 HAN Nathan 2 U 2 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool W 5:2 MADDOCKS Nate 10 U 12 Charlotte Fencing Academy
Pool L 2:5 SWIFT Madeleine 11 U 10 Apex Fencing Academy 1214 767 9.9 29%
Pool L 3:5 RAMESH prashvin 3 U 3
T16 W 15:14 SWIFT Madeleine 11 U 10 Apex Fencing Academy 2500 636 219.8 4%
T8 L 8:15 ZENG Alex 4 U 1 Research Triangle Fencing.

Apex Challenge RYC - Foil & Epee

Y-12 Women's Foil (U, Y12), February 4, 2024
Place 18, Seed 10, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 FILABI Aliya-Kay 7 U 10 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 934 803 20.2 42%
Pool W 5:3 FENG Claire 16 U 11 AIC Fencing Club 1011 782 31.0 36%
Pool L 1:5 SHAOOLIAN Maya 2 50 U 2 Masters Fencing Club 1378 813 9.2 18%
Pool L 2:5 SOMAN Indraa 20 U 15 Forge Fencing Teams 909 804 19.4 43%
T32 L 8:15 SOMAN Indraa 20 U 15 Forge Fencing Teams 1172 710 74.0 27%

Apex Challenge RYC - Foil & Epee

Y-14 Women's Foil (U, Y14), February 3, 2024
Place 18, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 IBRAHIM Yara 13 U 14 Apex Fencing Academy 1273 853 13.7 25%
Pool L 0:5 WU Lorena 6 E23 9 1509 839 8.3 14%
Pool L 1:5 ROTHMAN Rebecca 18 U 12 Research Triangle Fencing 1235 831 13.7 26%
Pool L 0:5 SINGH Evangelina 11 U 3 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 1196 817 14.0 27%
Pool L 0:5 MARISI Gianna 1 41 C24 1 Lang Fencing Academy 2320 803 0.6 1%
T32 L 6:15 LOVELACE Pepper 15 U 15 Blue Ridge Fencing Center 2269 720 10.2 3%

Apex Novice Cup

Y-12 Mixed Foil (None, Y12), January 27, 2024
Place 5, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:0 CARLSON Michael 5 U 11 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool W 5:4 IRIZARRY Nyla 8 U 6 Apex Fencing Academy 2907 706 106.1 < 1%
Pool W 5:2 RAMESH prashvin 1 U 8
Pool L 1:5 ZENG Alex 9 U 2 Research Triangle Fencing.
Pool W 5:1 OZTURK Nilufer 10 U 9 Apex Fencing Academy 1917 812 40.4 11%
T8 L 13:15 NEGLEY Beibei 11 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy

Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil (U, Y12), January 19, 2024
Place 10, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 PARK Hannah 7 U 8 Invicta Sports 1046 741 20.5 31%
Pool W 5:2 FILABI Aliya-Kay 9 U 9 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 996 720 42.2 33%
Pool L 1:5 PHAN Logan 5 U 3 Chesapeake Fencing Club 713 763 31.2 53%
Pool L 1:5 YACOBUCCI Nadia 1 17 E23 1 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 1747 731 3.9 5%
Pool L 1:5 FENG Claire 10 U 3 AIC Fencing Club 934 728 21.2 37%
T16 L 11:15 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 6 U 7 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 2500 733 13.2 5%

Forge Fencing - Priority on Youth #1 of 5

Y-12 Mixed Foil (U, Y12), December 9, 2023
Place 10, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 PASCHAL Richard 5 U 1 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 1:5 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 4 U 6 Crusader Fencing
Pool L 1:5 GAYER Mace 10 U 7 Forge Fencing
Pool L 1:5 BALIN Julia 1 U 2 Forge Fencing
T16 L 13:15 BALIN Julia 1 U 2 Forge Fencing

Apex Novice Cup

Y-12 Mixed Foil (U, Y12), November 11, 2023
Place 9, Seed 11, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 CARLSON Michael 12 U 12 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 0:5 HAN Nathan 1 U 5 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 1:5 NEGLEY Beibei 9 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 1:5 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 8 U 3 Richmond Fencing Club
Pool W 5:2 GRIFFIN Ainsley 5 U 13 Salle New Bern 2500 688 52.6 4%
Pool W 5:0 LU Haotian (Daniel) 4 U 10 Apex Fencing Academy
T16 L 8:15 CABRERA Isabella 7 U 8 Forge Fencing 2500 747 13.8 5%

American Challenge South ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil (C1, Y14), November 5, 2023
Place 17, Seed 13, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 LIU Elinda 7 E23 10 Epic Fencing Club / SCAD- Atlanta Fencing 1711 780 6.3 7%
Pool L 1:5 MARISI Gianna 1 42 C23 3 Lang Fencing Academy 2255 773 1.0 1%
Pool L 0:5 ALLEN Sophia 12 U 3 Invicta Sports 1010 772 25.5 35%
Pool L 1:5 RIEGERT-JOHNSON Simone 6 D23 5 Fioretto Fencing Academy 1743 747 5.0 5%
Pool L 3:5 LEEKER Adeline 17 U 15 Birmingham Fencing Club 273 742 53.7 77%
T32 L 2:15 ACOSTA Mei 16 U 16 Epic Fencing Club 1148 866 118.7 35%

American Challenge South ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil (U, Y12), November 4, 2023
Place 11, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 PARK Zena 1 39 D23 1 Auburn Fencing Club 1963 923 5.8 5%
Pool L 0:5 ACOSTA Mei 5 U 10 Epic Fencing Club 915 917 43.0 50%
Pool L 0:5 KUTATELADZE Anna 9 U 3 Epic Fencing Club 993 874 34.9 42%
Pool L 1:5 ALLEN Sophia 10 U 6 Invicta Sports 1013 839 30.9 39%
Pool L 4:5 PARK Hannah 4 U 5 Invicta Sports 988 808 28.7 39%
T16 L 2:15 ALLEN Sophia 10 U 6 Invicta Sports 1288 1012 145.6 36%

Apex Novice Cup

Y-12 Mixed Foil (U, Y12), October 28, 2023
Place 11, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 WANG Miles 4 U 9 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 2:5 ZHANG Catherine 11 U 10 Apex Fencing Academy 2500 999 5.5 7%
Pool L 0:5 ZENG Alex 8 U 1 Research Triangle Fencing.
Pool L 1:5 JOSEPH Rachel 9 U 6 Apex Fencing Academy 893 993 51.6 56%
Pool L 2:5 IBRAHIM Yara 5 U 5 Apex Fencing Academy 1511 941 18.3 19%
T16 L 8:15 NEGLEY Beibei 10 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy

The Bull City RJCC, RYC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil (U, Y12), October 15, 2023
Place 13, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 SMOLICH Emily 13 U 3 Research Triangle Fencing 1135 1334 86.9 62%
Pool L 2:5 MCDEVITT Evangeline 5 U 12 Forge Fencing Teams 765 1247 88.6 75%
Pool L 1:5 PARK Zena 1 14 D23 1 Auburn Fencing Club 1973 1159 14.6 10%
Pool L 1:5 KIM Sophia 9 U 3 AIC Fencing Club 1232 1144 51.7 44%
Pool L 1:5 KUTATELADZE Anna 12 U 7 Epic Fencing Club 989 1092 60.9 56%
Pool L 1:5 HAFEZ Sahar 3 68 U 8 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 1335 1031 32.9 31%
T16 L 1:15 SMOLICH Emily 13 U 3 Research Triangle Fencing 1642 1139 127.5 26%

The Bull City RJCC, RYC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil (U, Y14), October 14, 2023
Place 20, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 WANG Sophia 4 68 D23 10 Epic Fencing Club / SCAD- Atlanta Fencing 1954 1783 93.2 40%
Pool L 0:5 CAO Kayla 5 106 U 3 Research Triangle Fencing 1534 1689 122.7 59%
Pool L 0:5 SINGH Evangelina 24 U 8 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 1159 1567 139.5 73%
Pool W 5:4 LIU Joanna 21 U 23 263 1427 8.9 96%
Pool L 0:5 KIM Sophia 14 U 11 AIC Fencing Club 1200 1436 101.9 64%
T32 L 2:15 CAO Kayla 5 106 U 3 Research Triangle Fencing 1771 1312 173.0 28%

Apex Novice Cup

Y-12 Women's Foil (U, Y12), September 16, 2023
Place 3, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 IBRAHIM Yara 2 U 1 Apex Fencing Academy 1042 2208 413.9 94%
Pool W 5:2 JOSEPH Rachel 4 U 2 Apex Fencing Academy 1174 1794 56.4 80%
Pool L 0:5 LONG Rose 3 U 3 2290 1851 67.9 27%
T4 L 3:15 IBRAHIM Yara 2 U 1 Apex Fencing Academy 1210 2079 767.3 81%

Apex Novice Cup - Youth & Senior Foil/Epee

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), June 10, 2023
Place 5, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 WANG Miles 3 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 1:5 IRIZARRY Nyla 6 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy 2345 2362 206.9 51%
Pool W 5:4 HOLST Zemeri 1 U 6 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 4:5 LONG Rose 4 U 2 Crusader Fencing 2973 2155 69.8 18%
Pool L 1:5 ZENG Alex 2 U 1 Research Triangle Fencing.
Pool W 5:4 JOHANSEN YUN Stella Luna 7 U 7 Boone Fencers Club / (none) 1870 2085 122.9 59%
T8 L 7:10 WANG Miles 3 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy

Apex Novice Cup - Youth & Senior Foil/Epee

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), February 25, 2023
Place 7, Seed 10, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 SPAUGH William "Liam" 12 U 10 Research Triangle Fencing
Pool L 3:5 IRIZARRY Nyla 2 U 9 Apex Fencing Academy 1726 2846 483.8 86%
Pool L 3:5 MALONE Brody 6 U 3 Crusader Fencing
Pool L 1:5 STEPANIAN Daniel 7 U 5 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool W 5:1 HOLST Zemeri 3 U 13 Apex Fencing Academy
T16 W 10:8 SPAUGH William "Liam" 12 U 10 Research Triangle Fencing
T8 L 7:10 KHAIT Matvei 5 U 2 Apex Fencing Academy

Apex Novice Cup - Youth & Senior Foil/Epee

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), January 21, 2023
Place 6, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 FURMANSKI Colton 2 U 12 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool W 5:3 IRIZARRY Nyla 11 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy 2500 2079 424.5 37%
Pool L 1:5 ZENG Alex 3 U 1 Research Triangle Fencing.
Pool W 5:2 LONG Rose 8 U 9 Crusader Fencing 2798 2504 341.6 40%
Pool L 4:5 HOLST Zemeri 12 U 11 Apex Fencing Academy
T16 W 10:5 FURMANSKI Colton 2 U 12 Apex Fencing Academy
T8 L 0:10 SMOLICH Emily 6 U 3 Research Triangle Fencing 2500 2500 420.5 50%

Apex Novice Cup - Youth & Senior Foil/Epee

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), December 3, 2022
Place 12, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating U, Apex Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 STEPANIAN Daniel 11 U 5 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 1:5 MALONE Brody 4 U 3 Crusader Fencing
Pool L 4:5 HUNTER Soren 8 U 9 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 2:5 HOLLANDER Max 5 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy
Pool L 0:5 BISANAR Brynn 1 U 2 Research Triangle Fencing 2500 2500 420.5 50%
T16 L 1:10 HOLLANDER Max 5 U 3 Apex Fencing Academy