California State High School Fencing Championships

High School Men's Epee

Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Chaminade High School - West Hills, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 LEE Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 GADHVI Darius 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
3 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
5 CHARETTE Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
6 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
7 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 5%
8 KE Jackson 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
9 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
10 CHEONG Cameron 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
11 PAINTER Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
12 LUNDE Drew 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
13 KIM Tristan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
14 HUNTINGTON Charles 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
15 YANAI Charlie 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
16 JONES Rodney 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
17 TIAN choyu 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
18 TORRES A Leonardo 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
19 PAEK Marcus 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
20 ORMOND Andrew 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
21 PALAPA Yair 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
22 GARCIA Miguel 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
23 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
24 GUILLERMO Dante 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
24 GONZALEZ Elias 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
26 WANG Dylan 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
27 MCKOWN Christopher 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
28 CALDWELL Sean 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
29 SERAPIO Jose 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
30 ZAPATA Matthew 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
30 KNIGHT Liam 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
32 FLORES Simon 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
33 ARIAS CALIX Franklin 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
34 SAUTER Luke 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
35 LY Richard 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.