Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Adrian - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
2 WU Matthew - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 LUO Alexander - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
3 CHEN Evan - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
5 TANG Colin - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
6 ARMSTRONG Payson - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
7 MOSTOVOY philip - - - - 2% 22% 76%
8 CHIANG William - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
9 ZHENG Jason - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
10 ZHENG Jasper - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
11 HONG Ethen - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
12 VASILEV Victor - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
13 FRIZZELL Kai - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
14 CHEN Jayden A - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
15 MASKIN Mikhail - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 14%
16 QI Bryan 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
17 SHAO Mason 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
18 NOOL Aaron - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
19 FANG Charlie - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
20 TOPRANI Valmik - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
21 LIN Aiden 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
22 SCHLUBACH Jasper 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
23 JIANG Aidan 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
24 DING Charlie 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
25 YAO Irvine 1% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
26 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
27 CHANG Connor 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
28 ZINCHUK Yuri 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
29 SON Isaac 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
30 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
31 CHEN Regis 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
32 HAMILTON Tyler 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
33 TANG Jayce 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
34 NG Remy - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
35 YOU Emmanuel 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
36 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
37 YU MAXIMILIAN 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
38 YADAV Aarav 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
39 FLANAGAN Ronan 12% 42% 35% 10% 1% -
40 PHILIP Kian 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
41 YUAN Leonardo 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
42 CHAUDHURI Rayaan 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
43 SHKOP Alexander 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
44 LEE Jack 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
44 CHEN Benjamin - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
46 KIM Brendan 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
47 LAI Jaxon 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
48 MATHEW Benjamin 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
49 GOH Cayden 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
50 SCOGGIN Charles 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
51 ZHANG Jacob 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
51 DEVISETTY Sohun 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
53 LIU FREDERICK 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% -
54 KAZARIAN Matthias 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
55 HWANG Christopher 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
56 AIRAN-JAVIA Shiv < 1% 13% 41% 36% 9% -
57 PINCIROLI Tommaso 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
58 SCHNEIDER Gideon < 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
59 YAN Milan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
60 AU Wesley 28% 41% 24% 6% 1% - -
61 MOON Jace < 1% 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.