Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
2 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61%
3 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
5 TANG Colin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
6 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
7 MOSTOVOY philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
8 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
9 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
10 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
11 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
12 VASILEV Victor 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
13 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
14 CHEN Jayden A 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
15 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
16 QI Bryan 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
17 SHAO Mason 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
18 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
19 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
20 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
21 LIN Aiden 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
22 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
23 JIANG Aidan 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
24 DING Charlie 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
25 YAO Irvine 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
26 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
27 CHANG Connor 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
28 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
29 SON Isaac 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
30 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
31 CHEN Regis 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
32 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
33 TANG Jayce 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
34 NG Remy 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
35 YOU Emmanuel 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
36 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
37 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
38 YADAV Aarav 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
39 FLANAGAN Ronan 100% 88% 47% 11% 1% -
40 PHILIP Kian 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
41 YUAN Leonardo 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
42 CHAUDHURI Rayaan 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
43 SHKOP Alexander 100% 57% 17% 2% - - -
44 LEE Jack 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
44 CHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
46 KIM Brendan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
47 LAI Jaxon 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
48 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
49 GOH Cayden 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
50 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
51 ZHANG Jacob 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
51 DEVISETTY Sohun 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
53 LIU FREDERICK 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
54 KAZARIAN Matthias 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
55 HWANG Christopher 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
56 AIRAN-JAVIA Shiv 100% 100% 87% 46% 9% -
57 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
58 SCHNEIDER Gideon 100% 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
59 YAN Milan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
60 AU Wesley 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
61 MOON Jace 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.