Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FAN Joy 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 7%
2 SILVA Hailey 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
3 MEGGERS Arya 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
3 GUERRERO Sara 100% 100% 94% 70% 26% 2%
5 LI Xier 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
6 GRIGORYAN Amaliya 100% 100% 92% 64% 24% 3%
7 MAEDJE Abigail 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
8 KIM Kate 100% 73% 30% 6% -
9 ZHANG Sophia 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
10 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
11 KWON Claire 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
12 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
13 WANG Jenny wang 100% 70% 27% 5% -
14 LEWIN Isabelle 100% 90% 56% 19% 2%
15 JANG Daniella 100% 99% 92% 60% 15% 1%
16 CHUNG Yenna 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
17 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
18 ZHU Danielle Jade 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
19 KWON Allison 100% 84% 44% 12% 1%
20 ADLER Anneliese 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
21 LOPATINA Anastasiia 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
22 KIM Lina 100% 45% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.