Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIGGS Kaiden 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
2 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
3 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
5 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 YU Jeremy 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
7 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
8 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
9 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
10 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
11 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
12 KONG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 2%
13 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
14 SAAD Noah 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
15 BORAN Brooks 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9% 1%
16 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
17 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
19 NAM Nathaniel 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
20 CHAN Ian 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
21 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
22 FENG Xinmin 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
23 BANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
24 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 89% 41% 8% 1% -
25 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
26 ALPSOY Emir 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
27 LAI Jayden 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
28 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
29 KIM Daniel 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
30 STEPANIAN George 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
31 HAM Ian 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
32 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
33 TSEN Mason 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2%
34 MILLER Xavier 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
35 KONG Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
36 POLAGANI Krishiv 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
37 BAYUS Oliver 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
38 WU Jiachen 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
39 FEELY Benjamin 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
40 JARRATT Jacob 100% 36% 5% - - -
41 SAAD Peter 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
42 MILLER Balthazar 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
43 KIM Siwoo 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 4% -
44 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% - -
45 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
46 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
47 GALIOTE James 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
48 BHATT Shivam 100% 62% 19% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.