BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
2 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 ZEYU wu 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
7 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
8 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 96% 75% 26%
9 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
10 LI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
11 LO Lei 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
12 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
13 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
14 VO Blake 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
15 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 3%
16 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
17 WANG David 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
18 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
19 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
20 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
21 GU Dean 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
22 OU Rigel 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 4%
23 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
24 WU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 4%
25 ELSAYED Omar 100% 89% 52% 13% 1%
26 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
27 MA Cing Tim 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
28 DING Orlando 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
29 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
30 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
31 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
32 YANG Aegon 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
33 KANG Nathan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
34 CAO Chuck 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13% -
35 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14% 1%
36 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
37 ZHANG Caleb 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
38 HO Alden 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
39 DENG Richard 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
40 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2% -
41 RHODES Bryce 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
42 ZHANG Kaden 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
43 JI Derek 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
43 LAI Mars 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
45 HE Richard 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
46 LEI Isaac 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
47 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
48 DENG Aurik 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
49 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
50 ZHOU Ruibo 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
51 WANG Darren 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
52 PI Edwin 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% -
53 FAN Yuchen 100% 87% 46% 10% 1%
54 YUAN Alan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
55 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
56 LIU Paul 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
57 WU Dustin 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
58 DING Kyen 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
59 ZHEN Felix 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
60 IRVINE Cooper 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
62 KIM Leo 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
63 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
64 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
65 FAN Yuen 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
66 JANG Seohyeon 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
67 曾 ZIMO 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 2%
68 HIROTA Jackson 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
69 MALLARD Arthur 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
70 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
71 JASPERSON Nolan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
72 SABINO Bennett 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
73 WANG Henrik 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
74 CHEN Donovan 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
75 RAMAKRISHNA Arjun 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
76 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
77 STERN Kazuki 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% - -
78 HIROTA Mitchell 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
79 ADAMS Jordan 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
80 ROHRBACH Flynn 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
81 YU Sean 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
82 LAM Ethan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
84 GUO Aiden 100% 63% 18% 2% -
85 MAZAHERI John 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
85 MILLER Ari 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
87 CAO Osmond 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.