Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUTH Joseph - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
2 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
3 XU Andy P. - - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
3 MILLER Jordan - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
5 CHEN Hanson - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
6 YAP Nathan - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
7 LEE Charles T - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
8 MILLER Dillon - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
9 XIE Jicheng - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
10 PECK Quinn - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
11 BAI Brian - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
12 WONG Jacob W. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
13 CHA James 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
14 HUANG Chenghan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
15 BLACK Zachary - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
16 SHANNON Jack - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
17 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
18 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
19 TOOMRE Kai 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
20 HAN Alexander - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
21 LIM Charlie - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
22 HOLLIS Sean - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
23 JURMAN Therin 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
24 BAI Austin - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
25 YEVDAYEV Tamir - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
26 ONIK Ari N. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
27 METZ Mason - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
28 KAYE Ben 9% 46% 34% 10% 1% - -
29 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
30 ORLOV Dmitriy - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
31 YANG David H. 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
31 ZHANG GAVIN J 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
33 SRINIVASAN Vedant - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
34 KIM Aiden 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
35 ZAPPALA Nikolai 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
36 WEST Nathaniel 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 3% -
37 GREENE Amit 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
38 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
39 PEDERSEN Charles 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
40 BAKSHI Aman 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
41 BELOKON Sammy - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
42 DIAZ Gabriel 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
43 REN Ryan 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
44 TIBBETTS Justin 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
45 RIPA Joseph K. 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
46 WANG Xicheng 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
47 ROJAS Elijah 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
48 COSSROW Alex 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
49 MCCARTHY Hudson 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
50 BLACK Henry 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
51 GROSPERRIN Eugene 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
52 BASKIN Lukáš 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
53 BUNDUS Luca 72% 25% 3% - - - -
54 DA SILVA Jamie 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.