Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
2 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
3 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
3 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
5 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
6 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
7 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
8 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
9 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
10 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
11 BAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
12 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
13 CHA James 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
14 HUANG Chenghan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
15 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
16 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
17 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
18 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
19 TOOMRE Kai 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
20 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
21 LIM Charlie 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
22 HOLLIS Sean 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
23 JURMAN Therin 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
24 BAI Austin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
25 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
26 ONIK Ari N. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
27 METZ Mason 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
28 KAYE Ben 100% 91% 45% 11% 1% - -
29 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
30 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
31 YANG David H. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
31 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
33 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
34 KIM Aiden 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
35 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
36 WEST Nathaniel 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
37 GREENE Amit 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
38 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
39 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
40 BAKSHI Aman 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
41 BELOKON Sammy 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
42 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
43 REN Ryan 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
44 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
45 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
46 WANG Xicheng 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
47 ROJAS Elijah 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
48 COSSROW Alex 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
49 MCCARTHY Hudson 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
50 BLACK Henry 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
51 GROSPERRIN Eugene 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
52 BASKIN Lukáš 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
53 BUNDUS Luca 100% 28% 3% - - - -
54 DA SILVA Jamie 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.