Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAU Kyrus - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
2 LI Michael - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
3 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 LIANG Morgan - - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
5 LIU Jayden - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
6 SONG Aidan - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
7 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
8 PARK Layne 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
9 SHAPIRO Leo - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
10 BEAL Colton - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
11 STOLCKE Julian - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
12 MOGUNOV Alan - - 1% 11% 35% 41% 11%
13 DARLING Andrew 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
14 O'KEEFE Brody - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
15 LEIGH Brayden - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
16 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
17 CHAN Ewan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
18 PARK Sean - 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 4%
19 LLOYD Max - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
20 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
21 CHEN Ryan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
22 KUTTIN Aadith 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
23 MOROAICA Seiku - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
24 LI Sebastian 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
24 XUE Albert - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
26 LEE Shane Gunn - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
27 IP Hunter - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
28 SONG Ryan 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
29 ZHAO Alexander - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 3%
30 LI Kent 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
31 ZALETAEV Jacob - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
31 KONG Ethan 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
33 HONG Isaac 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
34 SUH Jordan 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
34 GAW Zachary 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
36 DMYTRUK Alexander 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
37 RAJMOHAN Syon 16% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
38 FAZELINIA Erfaan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
39 BURNS Carson 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
40 HAMM Bennett - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
41 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
42 ARUN Viyaan 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
43 HO Alexander 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
44 CHEN Joshua 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
45 LEISTNER Armin 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
46 HUANG KIMBALL 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
47 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
48 VINCENT Yijia 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
49 LI Felix 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
50 KNOBEL Benjamin - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
51 FIELDS Eli - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
52 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
53 CHEN Tyler 14% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
54 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
55 PALERMO Evan 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
56 KULJIEV Boyan 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
57 OLSON Prescott 24% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
58 WERNER Jonah 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
59 LI Jayden 3% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
60 GAW Christian 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
61 IP Ethan 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
62 LEE Andrew 5% 21% 33% 26% 12% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.