Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 LI Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
3 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
6 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
7 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
8 PARK Layne 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
9 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
10 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
11 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
12 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 11%
13 DARLING Andrew 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
14 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
15 LEIGH Brayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
16 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
17 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
18 PARK Sean 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
19 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
20 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
21 CHEN Ryan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
22 KUTTIN Aadith 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
23 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
24 LI Sebastian 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
24 XUE Albert 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
26 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 11%
27 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
28 SONG Ryan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
29 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 3%
30 LI Kent 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 8% 1%
31 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
31 KONG Ethan 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
33 HONG Isaac 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
34 SUH Jordan 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
34 GAW Zachary 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
36 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
37 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
38 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
39 BURNS Carson 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
40 HAMM Bennett 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 2%
41 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
42 ARUN Viyaan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
43 HO Alexander 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
44 CHEN Joshua 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
45 LEISTNER Armin 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
46 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
47 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
48 VINCENT Yijia 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
49 LI Felix 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
50 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
51 FIELDS Eli 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
52 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
53 CHEN Tyler 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
54 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 85% 47% 16% 3% - -
55 PALERMO Evan 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
56 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
57 OLSON Prescott 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
58 WERNER Jonah 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
59 LI Jayden 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
60 GAW Christian 100% 85% 44% 13% 2% - -
61 IP Ethan 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
62 LEE Andrew 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.