Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
2 CHANG Ethan - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
3 TAKEBE Ren - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
3 CAO HAOTIAN - - 4% 24% 49% 23%
5 LEVY Daniel - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
6 FAVO Christopher 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
7 D'AMELJ Edoardo - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
8 BROOKS Theo - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
9 TAK Kion 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
10 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
11 YU Ronen 1% 7% 30% 43% 17% 2%
12 ZHANG Weihang 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
13 CHOU Franklin - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
14 LEE Aiden 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
15 JAVIER Xavier - - 1% 12% 44% 43%
16 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
17 MIKHAILOV Andrei 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
18 BROOKS Isaac - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
19 YEAZEL Reid 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
20 BABY Jacob 6% 24% 36% 26% 8% 1%
21 SUN Leonard 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
22 CHEN Remsen 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
23 TAK Sion 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
24 KASSAYE Abi 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
25 BABY Henry 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
26 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
27 SHARMA KRISH 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
28 MCCABE Donovan 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
29 SOMOV Maxim 8% 35% 40% 15% 2% -
30 LI Derek 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
32 STOKELY Samuel 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
33 CARD Ewan 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
34 HUANG Joseph 8% 35% 40% 15% 2% -
35 ZHAO Evan 45% 41% 12% 1% - -
36 LEE Augustine 29% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
37 BOURAR Ayman 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
38 PETROSYAN Aleksander 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
39 WANG Ambrose 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.