Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 41%
3 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
3 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 23%
5 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
6 FAVO Christopher 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
7 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
8 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
9 TAK Kion 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
10 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
11 YU Ronen 100% 99% 92% 62% 19% 2%
12 ZHANG Weihang 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
13 CHOU Franklin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
14 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
15 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
16 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
17 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
18 BROOKS Isaac 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
19 YEAZEL Reid 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
20 BABY Jacob 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
21 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
22 CHEN Remsen 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
23 TAK Sion 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
24 KASSAYE Abi 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
25 BABY Henry 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
26 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
27 SHARMA KRISH 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
28 MCCABE Donovan 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
29 SOMOV Maxim 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -
30 LI Derek 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
32 STOKELY Samuel 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
33 CARD Ewan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
34 HUANG Joseph 100% 92% 57% 17% 2% -
35 ZHAO Evan 100% 55% 14% 1% - -
36 LEE Augustine 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
37 BOURAR Ayman 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
38 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 97% 78% 44% 13% 1%
39 WANG Ambrose 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.