Northern Virginia Knights RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Michael and Son Sportsplex at Dulles - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
2 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 41%
3 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
3 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
5 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 FAVO Christopher 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
7 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
8 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
9 TAK Kion 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
10 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
11 YU Ronen 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
12 ZHANG Weihang 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
13 CHOU Franklin 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
14 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
15 JAVIER Xavier 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
16 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
17 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
18 BROOKS Isaac 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
19 YEAZEL Reid 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
20 BABY Jacob 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
21 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
22 CHEN Remsen 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
23 TAK Sion 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
24 KASSAYE Abi 100% 94% 63% 24% 4% -
25 BABY Henry 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
26 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
27 SHARMA KRISH 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
28 MCCABE Donovan 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
29 SOMOV Maxim 100% 92% 56% 17% 2% -
30 LI Derek 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 11% 1%
31 GUO Joe 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
32 STOKELY Samuel 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
33 CARD Ewan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
34 HUANG Joseph 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% -
35 ZHAO Evan 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
36 LEE Augustine 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
37 BOURAR Ayman 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
38 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
39 WANG Ambrose 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.