BBFC Duel in the Desert SYC, RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rio Hotel and Casino - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
2 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
3 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
3 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
5 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
7 HU Ashley 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
8 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
9 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
10 YU Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
11 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
12 KO Ariel 100% 100% 98% 77% 36% 7%
13 LIU Isabel 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
14 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 3%
15 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
16 MEADE Kaia G. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
17 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
18 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
19 FAN Tina 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
20 TSE Lavine 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
21 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
22 GUO YUKI 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 7% 1%
23 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 3%
24 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 100% 91% 61% 19%
25 DENG Oscar 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
26 OEI Allyson 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
27 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
28 FANG Lauren 100% 65% 13% 1% - -
29 YU Sydney 100% 98% 80% 37% 7% 1%
30 TABANCAY Ava 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1%
31 BRIMMER Bella 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
32 BAEK Aileen 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
33 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
34 TAN Angela 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% 1% -
35 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
36 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
37 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
38 LIU Anya 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
39 XU Ella 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
40 MENDOZA SAB 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
41 ZHANG Cecilia 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
42 WANG Makayla 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
43 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
44 WANG April 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
45 FISCHER Luna 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
46 ZHOU kelsey 100% 79% 31% 5% - -
47 ATA Emily 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
48 ZHONG Alexandra 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
49 YANG Renee 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
50 WHITE CAREY Alberta 100% 56% 13% 1% - -
51 SHIH Cayla 100% 50% 5% - - -
52 CAO Alisa 100% 33% 5% - - - -
53 HAN yujie 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
54 ZHONG Victoria 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.