Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Leonard - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
2 TAK Kion - 2% 20% 46% 31%
3 TIAGI Ronald - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
3 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
5 LEVY Rafa - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 3%
6 MIKHAILOV Andrei - 3% 20% 43% 30% 4%
7 LI Nathan 1% 12% 42% 37% 9%
8 KWON Joon 2% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
9 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2%
10 BECKER Grayson - 2% 14% 39% 36% 9% -
11 RINALDI Benigno - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
12 GHIM Ethan - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
13 GUO Joe 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
14 HUANG Joseph 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
15 CARD Ewan 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
16 GOEL Edrian 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
17 LAN Jasper - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
18 TAK Sion 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
19 TOPALOV Michael - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
20 THORNTON Jackson 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
21 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 8% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
22 NEPPALLI Dhruv - 5% 28% 46% 21%
23 ZHAO Evan 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
24 HUANG Max 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
25 PETROSYAN Aleksander 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
26 LI Derek - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
27 WANG Tyler - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20% 2%
28 CHEN Remsen 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
29 JOHNSON Leyton 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
30 CHU Caleb - 2% 14% 38% 38% 8%
31 XU Evan 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
32 WANG Thomas 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
33 ZHANG Luyang 19% 50% 26% 5% -
34 FERRARO Antonio 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
35 SNYDER Axel 54% 39% 7% - -
36 FERRARO Marco 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
36 SMOOT Ari 38% 41% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.