Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
2 TAK Kion 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
3 TIAGI Ronald 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 LEVY Rafa 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
6 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 4%
7 LI Nathan 100% 99% 88% 46% 9%
8 KWON Joon 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
9 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2%
10 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9% -
11 RINALDI Benigno 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
12 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
13 GUO Joe 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
14 HUANG Joseph 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
15 CARD Ewan 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 2%
16 GOEL Edrian 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
17 LAN Jasper 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
18 TAK Sion 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
19 TOPALOV Michael 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
20 THORNTON Jackson 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
21 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
22 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 100% 95% 67% 21%
23 ZHAO Evan 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% - -
24 HUANG Max 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
25 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
26 LI Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
27 WANG Tyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
28 CHEN Remsen 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
29 JOHNSON Leyton 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
30 CHU Caleb 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
31 XU Evan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
32 WANG Thomas 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
33 ZHANG Luyang 100% 81% 31% 5% -
34 FERRARO Antonio 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
35 SNYDER Axel 100% 46% 7% - -
36 FERRARO Marco 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
36 SMOOT Ari 100% 62% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.