Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BARROSO Isabela - 2% 16% 49% 32%
2 XU Emily T. - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 FAN Alexandria - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 KO Ariel 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
5 VATS Ishita 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
6 YADAV Tishya 6% 33% 45% 14% 1%
7 HUANG Neila 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 4%
8 TISSONE Veronica 3% 20% 38% 30% 9% 1%
9 MCAFEE Jada - 3% 21% 42% 29% 6%
10 DAVIDOVA Kira - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
11 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 1% 13% 47% 38%
12 SEVASTOPULO Sahra - 3% 22% 42% 28% 5%
13 CHANG Norah - 3% 15% 37% 36% 10%
14 COLBY Mercer - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
15 MING Emma 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
16 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra - 4% 26% 42% 24% 4%
17 BARBORIAK Emily 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
18 FLEEGER Sophia 14% 46% 33% 6% -
19 FANG Elena 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
20 LOZIER Camryn 55% 38% 6% - - -
21 FANG Darcy 46% 40% 13% 2% - -
22 WILFRET Katerina 50% 40% 9% 1% -
23 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 23% 54% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.