Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
2 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 KO Ariel 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
5 VATS Ishita 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
6 YADAV Tishya 100% 94% 61% 16% 1%
7 HUANG Neila 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
8 TISSONE Veronica 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
9 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 6%
10 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
11 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
12 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 5%
13 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
14 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
15 MING Emma 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
16 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 70% 28% 4%
17 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%
18 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 86% 39% 6% -
19 FANG Elena 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
20 LOZIER Camryn 100% 45% 6% - - -
21 FANG Darcy 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
22 WILFRET Katerina 100% 50% 10% 1% -
23 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 100% 77% 23% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.