Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOY LeeAnn - - - - 9% 91%
2 ZANGA Kaitlyn - - 1% 14% 52% 33%
3 CAMPBELL Eva - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
3 GOLIYAD Lisa 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
5 YOU Emily - - 1% 9% 46% 44%
6 KROPP Anne (Charlie) - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
7 ILYAS Ayah - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
8 MURPHY Katherine 1% 9% 36% 43% 10% 1%
9 WONG Caitlin 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
10 DAVIS Jennifer - 3% 17% 40% 36% 5%
11 DESAI Ela 2% 15% 36% 35% 12% -
12 PILSON Rebecca 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
13 LOZIER Grace 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
14 BISONO Valentina - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
15 FOMINA Polina - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
16 DUNSEATH Lauren M. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
17 PROKOP Jeannine A. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
18 DESAI Meera P. - - - 2% 22% 75%
19 KANG Yenna - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
20 LI Caroline - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
21 BURT Emmalyne Grace 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
22 BOWIE Charlotta - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
23 LIN Cynthia 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
24 LEVKOV Maita 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
25 DUBROVINA Irene - 5% 22% 42% 30% 1%
26 JEYOON Lauren 3% 20% 45% 28% 4% -
27 PHELAN Gabrielle 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
28 QUADRI Saira 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
29 SUNMAN Rory 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
30 ROWLAND May 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
31 MEMON Insha 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
32 WHITTINGTON Kelly 35% 47% 16% 2% - -
33 HART Jenna 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
34 RALSTON Katy 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
35 GRIFFEN Emily P. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
36 GUSKA Jenn 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
37 IVA Sofia 4% 30% 40% 21% 5% - -
38 NGUYEN Milly 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
39 IBRAHIM Layla 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
40 REARDON Isabella 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
41 MILLER Cassandra 28% 48% 21% 3% - -
42 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
43 JULIEN Erica 5% 24% 40% 25% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.