Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
2 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 33%
3 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
5 YOU Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 44%
6 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
7 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
8 MURPHY Katherine 100% 99% 90% 54% 11% 1%
9 WONG Caitlin 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
10 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 5%
11 DESAI Ela 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% -
12 PILSON Rebecca 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
13 LOZIER Grace 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
14 BISONO Valentina 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
15 FOMINA Polina 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
16 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
17 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
18 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
19 KANG Yenna 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
20 LI Caroline 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
21 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
22 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
23 LIN Cynthia 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
24 LEVKOV Maita 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
25 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 1%
26 JEYOON Lauren 100% 97% 77% 32% 4% -
27 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
28 QUADRI Saira 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
29 SUNMAN Rory 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
30 ROWLAND May 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
31 MEMON Insha 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
32 WHITTINGTON Kelly 100% 65% 18% 2% - -
33 HART Jenna 100% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
34 RALSTON Katy 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
35 GRIFFEN Emily P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
36 GUSKA Jenn 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
37 IVA Sofia 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% - -
38 NGUYEN Milly 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
39 IBRAHIM Layla 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
40 REARDON Isabella 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
41 MILLER Cassandra 100% 72% 24% 3% - -
42 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
43 JULIEN Erica 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.