Spring Fest

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, May 10, 2025 at 10:00 AM

The fencing center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 LI Sky 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
3 LIN Rongxuan 100% 100% 84% 30% 4% < 1%
3 IRVINE Cooper 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
5 HAGENBUCH Isabella 100% 90% 49% 4% -
6 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
7 KIM Connor 100% 82% 39% 9% 1%
8 JECHA Zachary 100% 100% 99% 78% 33% 5%
9 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
10 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 88% 53% 18% 2%
11 CLAES Emma 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
12 ZHANG Yuanhang (Peter) 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
13 XIE Jingyan 100% 100% 93% 61% 17%
14 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 81% 40% 10% 1%
15 KIM Ina 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
16 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 35% 5% - - -
17 CALLAHAN Macsen 100% 66% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.