Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVIS Jennifer - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
2 LEVKOV Maita 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
3 BISONO Valentina - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
3 GARCIA Aly - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
5 PHELAN Gabrielle - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
6 BENAVIDES Samantha 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
7 MEMON Insha 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
8 BURT Emmalyne Grace - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
9 GAVASHELI Margarita - 2% 8% 22% 33% 26% 8%
10 BERGMANN Beatrix - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
11 SHIN Jamie 8% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
12 RAFFERTY Catherine - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
13 DUBROVINA Irene - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
14 GOCHBERG Madeline 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
15 CHEN Ava 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
16 D'ANGELO Olivia 7% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
17 LIN Cynthia - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
18 SHEIKH PAREE 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
19 BARDIN Kira - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
20 RALSTON Katy 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
21 FOMINA Polina - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
22 MILLER Cassandra 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
23 AZAD Ava 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
24 COMBS Hannah 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
25 HOWARD Brielle 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
26 GUSKA Jenn 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
27 AVALOS Sofia 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
28 QUADRI Saira 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
29 MORET Teagan 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
30 WHITTINGTON Kelly 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
31 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
32 HART Jenna 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 14% 3%
33 IVA Sofia 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
34 TOBY Charmaine 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
35 JULIEN Erica < 1% 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.