Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
2 LEVKOV Maita 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
3 BISONO Valentina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
3 GARCIA Aly 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
5 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
6 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 5% -
7 MEMON Insha 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
8 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
9 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 35% 8%
10 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
11 SHIN Jamie 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
12 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
13 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
14 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 95% 76% 44% 17% 4% -
15 CHEN Ava 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
16 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 93% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
17 LIN Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
18 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
19 BARDIN Kira 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
20 RALSTON Katy 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
21 FOMINA Polina 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
22 MILLER Cassandra 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
23 AZAD Ava 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
24 COMBS Hannah 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
25 HOWARD Brielle 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
26 GUSKA Jenn 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
27 AVALOS Sofia 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
28 QUADRI Saira 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
29 MORET Teagan 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
30 WHITTINGTON Kelly 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
31 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
32 HART Jenna 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
33 IVA Sofia 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
34 TOBY Charmaine 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
35 JULIEN Erica 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.