Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAMPBELL Eva - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 ZANGA Kaitlyn - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 PILSON Rebecca - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
3 GOLIYAD Lisa - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
5 LOZIER Grace - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8%
6 MURPHY Katherine - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 2%
7 GARCIA Aly 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
8 KROPP Anne (Charlie) - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
9 OLELE Ifechi - 5% 25% 44% 26%
10 PHELAN Gabrielle - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
11 WEI Sherry - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
12 FOMINA Polina - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
13 VENKATESAN Harshitha 3% 21% 41% 28% 6%
14 BISONO Valentina 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
15 SHEIKH PAREE 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
16 CHEN Ava 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
17 GAVASHELI Margarita - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
18 LEE Kate 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
19 NOLAN Sophia 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
20 BARDIN Kira - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
21 BURT Emmalyne Grace - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
22 MILLER Cassandra 8% 31% 37% 20% 5% -
23 ZUCKER Emily A. - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
24 LI Xier 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
25 REARDON Isabella 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
26 TOBY kaja 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
27 SUNMAN Rory 22% 47% 25% 5% 1% - -
28 IBRAHIM Layla 15% 41% 33% 10% 1%
29 PRAVEEN Nehara 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
30 SHIN Jamie 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
31 AVALOS Sofia 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
32 AZAD Ava 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
33 D'ANGELO Olivia 36% 44% 18% 3% -
34 GOCHBERG Madeline 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
35 HAVERSON Civa - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
36 NAPOLI Eleanor 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
37 GUSKA Jenn 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.