Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
3 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
3 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
5 LOZIER Grace 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
6 MURPHY Katherine 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 2%
7 GARCIA Aly 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
8 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
9 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
10 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
11 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
12 FOMINA Polina 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
13 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
14 BISONO Valentina 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
15 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
16 CHEN Ava 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
17 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 13% 1%
18 LEE Kate 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
19 NOLAN Sophia 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
20 BARDIN Kira 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
21 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
22 MILLER Cassandra 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
23 ZUCKER Emily A. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
24 LI Xier 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
25 REARDON Isabella 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
26 TOBY kaja 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
27 SUNMAN Rory 100% 78% 31% 6% 1% - -
28 IBRAHIM Layla 100% 85% 44% 11% 1%
29 PRAVEEN Nehara 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
30 SHIN Jamie 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
31 AVALOS Sofia 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
32 AZAD Ava 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
33 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 64% 21% 3% -
34 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
35 HAVERSON Civa 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
36 NAPOLI Eleanor 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
37 GUSKA Jenn 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.