Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - - - - 6% 94%
2 RENTON Samantha - - 3% 37% 60%
3 VAUGHAN Norah - - - 5% 39% 54% 2%
3 CAO Kayla 5% 31% 54% 10% -
5 WANG Jasmine - - - 5% 24% 50% 21%
6 MOORE Addisyn 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
7 POWERS Meredith R. - 1% 12% 59% 28%
8 MA Emily(Yiming) 33% 51% 16% 1% -
9 COLE Sofia - 4% 25% 53% 17% 1% -
10 SHENG Chuxi - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
11 HOROWITZ Shuli - - 1% 17% 55% 27% 1%
12 REZA Fukaina 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
13 FERRONE Gianna 14% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
14 BERGMANN Beatrix 6% 33% 45% 14% 1% - -
15 IBRAHIM Yara 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
16 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 40% 48% 12% - -
18 LUEKEN Adelina 39% 45% 14% 1% - - -
19 RANDALL Cathleen Coyle < 1% 3% 14% 36% 37% 9% 1%
20 CHENG Emma 22% 48% 26% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.