Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 100% 97% 60%
3 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56% 2%
3 CAO Kayla 100% 95% 64% 11% -
5 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
6 MOORE Addisyn 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
7 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 99% 87% 28%
8 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 67% 16% 1% -
9 COLE Sofia 100% 100% 96% 71% 18% 1% -
10 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
11 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 27% 1%
12 REZA Fukaina 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
13 FERRONE Gianna 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
14 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 94% 61% 15% 1% - -
15 IBRAHIM Yara 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
16 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 60% 12% - -
18 LUEKEN Adelina 100% 61% 15% 1% - - -
19 RANDALL Cathleen Coyle 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10% 1%
20 CHENG Emma 100% 78% 30% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.