Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHENG Dalton - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
2 JOSEPH Willem - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
3 YANG Andy H. - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 CHO Jadon Yushin - - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
5 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 4% 29% 67%
6 YOON Junhyeok - 1% 6% 25% 42% 22% 4%
7 GATRELL Mitchell E. - 2% 15% 39% 37% 6%
8 SALEH Omar - 1% 15% 36% 34% 12% 2%
9 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - 3% 24% 73%
10 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 9% 31% 40% 18% 1%
11 TANG Alexander L. - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
12 HUANG Eythan - - 1% 9% 33% 42% 16%
13 VANOYEN Dominick - 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
14 SHIN Noah 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
15 LIM Charlie 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
16 EMENHEISER Conrad - 4% 20% 43% 30% 3%
17 O'BRIEN Jack K. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
18 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 2% 12% 37% 38% 11%
19 ZAIDI Adil 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
20 TANG August L. - 5% 23% 43% 26% 3%
21 XU Dinghui Ryan 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
22 SMOLICH Marat 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
23 HAN Alexander 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
24 WHEELOCK Bryan M. - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
25 SALEH Ali 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
26 BELOKON Sammy 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
27 TAM Kyle 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
28 MILLER Andrew - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
29 CLARK Benjamin 5% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
30 PRUT Anton 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
31 HOLLIS Sean 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
32 CRAYTON Royce S. 1% 7% 26% 41% 24% 2%
33 METZ Mason 3% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
34 LEVY Jacob 2% 20% 42% 29% 7% -
35 SALAZAR Tomas D. 4% 22% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
36 GRINER Kevin 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
37 YANG David H. 59% 34% 7% - - -
38 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - 7% 30% 42% 19% 2%
39 POWELL Sean 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
40 HARWOOD Gray 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
41 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
42 FERRONE Nate 26% 57% 15% 2% - - -
43 ELSAYED Ahmed 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
44 SINGH Meet 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
45 YOUNG Ryan 55% 39% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.