Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
2 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
5 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 4%
7 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
8 SALEH Omar 100% 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2%
9 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 1%
11 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
12 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
13 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
14 SHIN Noah 100% 92% 53% 15% 2% -
15 LIM Charlie 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
16 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 3%
17 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
18 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
19 ZAIDI Adil 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
20 TANG August L. 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 3%
21 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
22 SMOLICH Marat 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
23 HAN Alexander 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
24 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
25 SALEH Ali 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
26 BELOKON Sammy 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
27 TAM Kyle 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
28 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
29 CLARK Benjamin 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
30 PRUT Anton 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
31 HOLLIS Sean 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
32 CRAYTON Royce S. 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 2%
33 METZ Mason 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% -
34 LEVY Jacob 100% 98% 78% 36% 7% -
35 SALAZAR Tomas D. 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% 1% -
36 GRINER Kevin 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
37 YANG David H. 100% 41% 7% - - -
38 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 92% 62% 20% 2%
39 POWELL Sean 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
40 HARWOOD Gray 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
41 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
42 FERRONE Nate 100% 74% 17% 2% - - -
43 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
44 SINGH Meet 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
45 YOUNG Ryan 100% 45% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.