Fairfax Challenge ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC, RYC & PARA

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
2 LEVY Daniel - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
3 D'AMELJ Edoardo - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 LIU Jayden - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
5 TAKEBE Ren - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
6 LAN Jasper - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
7 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
8 RINALDI Benigno - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
9 CHAN Ewan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
10 CHOU Franklin - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
11 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
12 JAVIER Xavier - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
13 BONGIORNO Redding - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
14 TAK Kion - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
15 CID Marcos 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
16 HUANG KIMBALL 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
17 XIONG Robert 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
18 BERGAN Chase - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
19 TAK Sion 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
20 SUN Leonard - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
21 KELLY Collin - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
22 URQUILLA Devin 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
23 STOKELY Samuel 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
24 LI Derek - 3% 16% 35% 31% 12% 2%
25 CARD Ewan 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
26 BADMUS David 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
27 PETROSYAN Aleksander 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
28 HUANG Joseph 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
29 XU Andrew 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
30 LEE Augustine 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
31 GUO Joe 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
32 CHEN Remsen 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
33 ZHAO Evan 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
34 XU Evan 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.