The Foil Master @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 12:30 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SHAO Tysen 100% 98% 82% 47% 12%
2 SUN Lucas 100% 97% 77% 35% 4%
3 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 92% 58% 18% 2%
3 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 95% 70% 21%
5 YAN Aaron 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
6 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 89% 41% 7% -
7 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
8 LAI Olivia 100% 98% 82% 38% 7%
9 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
10 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 100% 95% 57%
11 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
12 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
13 FONG Isabel 100% 94% 62% 19% 2%
14 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 54% 13% 1% -
15 DUDLEY Kaitrin 100% 100% 99% 79% 31%
16 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 91% 48%
17 ZENG Cayden 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
18 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
19 LIN Dylan 100% 97% 69% 26% 4%
20 ZHU Claire 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
21 GOWDA Adisha 100% 99% 86% 44% 2%
22 LUO Olivia 100% 62% 19% 3% -
23 KAUDER Rourke 100% 71% 26% 4% -
24 YANG Jaron 100% 97% 76% 35% 7%
25 TANG Clementine 100% 95% 66% 18% -
26 HUEMMER Sophia 100% 79% 33% 6% -
27 HII Brian 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
28 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 100% 96% 68% 20%
29 KUO Esme 100% 87% 41% 5% -
30 KO Adeline 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
31 XIE Garrett 100% 83% 43% 11% 1%
32 DONG YIKUN 100% 79% 35% 7% -
33 JACOBE Jakyn 100% 94% 66% 22% 2%
34 LUO Derren 100% 63% 18% 2% -
35 DU Alan 100% 84% 42% 10% 1%
36 SOUSA Lauren 100% 77% 29% 2% -
37 GANGINENI Aarush 100% 81% 25% 3% -
38 WU Damien 100% 57% 14% 1% -
39 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 81% 41% 11% 1%
40 CUELLAR Declan 100% 100% 87% 47% 10%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.