May SJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Reno-Sparks Convention Center - Reno, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
2 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
3 ILYAS Ayah 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 XU Yvette 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
7 WU Jessica 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
8 WU Michelle 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
9 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
10 OLELE Ifechi 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
11 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
12 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
13 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
14 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
15 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
16 ELSTON Sophia 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
17 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
18 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
19 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
20 YOU Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
21 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
22 LIN Ariel 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
23 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
24 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
25 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
26 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
27 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
27 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
29 HOLDEN Helena 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
30 XU Jessica 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1%
31 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
32 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
33 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
35 DALEY Keira 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
36 ZHAO Alina 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
37 NING Miranda 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
38 HABEK Sophia 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
39 LEE Yeriel 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
40 SUN Karolyn 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
41 MAI Mailan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
42 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
43 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
44 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
45 GAN Shelby 100% 93% 64% 22% 3% -
46 CHERNIS Liah 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
47 FU Shannon 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
48 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
49 WONG Caitlin 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
50 LEE Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
51 GOH Cayla 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
52 WANG Lihong 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
53 LEE Emily 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
54 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
55 STERR Isabella M. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
56 KANE Chloe 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
57 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
58 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
59 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
60 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
61 HE Anna 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
62 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
63 WANG Cecilia 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
64 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
65 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
66 MENDOZA zoie 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
67 GANSER Nicole 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
68 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
69 MERRIMAN Rie 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
70 XU Celina 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
71 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
72 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
73 KAUR Manroop 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
74 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
75 LIN Isabel 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
76 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
77 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
78 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
79 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 28% 4%
80 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
81 KOHLI Tanvi 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
82 MENG Fina 100% 87% 45% 11% 1% - -
83 IYER Ishana 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
84 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
85 LIANG Jingjing 100% 99% 85% 51% 16% 2%
86 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
87 YOUN Kylie 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
88 LIN Laura 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
89 WANG Chloe 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 4% -
90 MURPHY Katherine 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
91 JAMES Ashley 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
92 ZHAO Emma 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
93 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
93 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
93 FENG Iris 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
96 MITTMAN Lela Z. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
96 KROTZ Gemma 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
98 ZHU Riley 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
99 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
100 MAENG Gloria 100% 67% 23% 3% - -
101 WRIGHT Madison 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
102 BLANCO Ariia 100% 92% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
103 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 98% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
104 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
105 WANG Ailly 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
106 BUDMAN Ava 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
106 MADANNAVAR Trisha 100% 56% 14% 1% - - -
108 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
109 YUEN Elsie 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
110 BARDIN Kira 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
111 NELSON Grace E. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
112 DWIGGINS Reese 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
113 AIRES Julia 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
114 HILL Aurora 100% 35% 5% - - - -
115 YOUN Emily 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
116 WANG Chantal 100% 95% 68% 26% 5% - -
117 WALLER Sara 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.