The Widowmaker at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 11:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 IGNATIK Piotr 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 LEDVINA Luke 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
3 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 94% 70% 24%
3 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
5 HUNKER Frederick 100% 94% 62% 22% 3%
6 BOGGESS Alexander 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
7 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
8 EDWARDS Tim 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
9 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
10 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
11 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 77% 33% 6% -
12 APANASEWICZ Dan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
13 PLUMMER Ken 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
14 FUCHS Robert 100% 83% 41% 10% 1%
15 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 98% 80% 44% 12% 1%
16 LONG Erika 100% 91% 54% 14% 1%
17 MAI Carl D. 100% 91% 57% 19% 2%
18 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
19 BRETHAUER Adah 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
20 PIERCE Marcia M. 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 2%
21 DUTTON Kitty 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
22 HUCULAK Eerik 100% 69% 23% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.