The Widowmaker at NKFA

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 4:00 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASON Alexander T. - - - 3% 26% 70%
2 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. - - - 6% 34% 60%
3 JONES Elijah - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
3 EVERT Todd - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
5 PRIJATEL John R. - 1% 10% 39% 43% 6%
6 IGNATIK Piotr - 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 1%
7 KLINE R. Jay - 1% 13% 40% 38% 8%
8 TURNER Joshua - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
9 STAUBITZ Marc 1% 34% 46% 17% 2% -
10 BOGGESS Alexander 8% 38% 38% 13% 2% -
11 APANASEWICZ Dan 22% 47% 26% 5% - -
12 EDWARDS Tim - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
13 FUCHS Robert 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
14 ECKEL Anson J. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
15 HUCULAK Eerik 1% 29% 47% 21% 3% -
16 HUNKER Frederick - 3% 19% 44% 30% 5%
17 ADAMISIN Brayden - 4% 24% 45% 24% 2%
18 MAI Carl D. 1% 20% 44% 28% 7% 1%
19 FULLER II Thomas 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
20 LEDVINA Luke 5% 27% 43% 21% 3% -
21 LONG Erika 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
22 BRETHAUER Adah 61% 33% 6% - - -
23 PIERCE Marcia M. 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
24 DUTTON Kitty 88% 12% 1% - - -
25 KOCSIS Cherry 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.