The Widowmaker at NKFA

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 4:00 PM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 JONES Elijah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
3 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
5 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 6%
6 IGNATIK Piotr 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
7 KLINE R. Jay 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 8%
8 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
9 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 99% 65% 19% 2% -
10 BOGGESS Alexander 100% 92% 54% 15% 2% -
11 APANASEWICZ Dan 100% 78% 31% 5% - -
12 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
13 FUCHS Robert 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
14 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
15 HUCULAK Eerik 100% 99% 70% 24% 3% -
16 HUNKER Frederick 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 5%
17 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 2%
18 MAI Carl D. 100% 99% 80% 36% 8% 1%
19 FULLER II Thomas 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
20 LEDVINA Luke 100% 95% 67% 24% 3% -
21 LONG Erika 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
22 BRETHAUER Adah 100% 39% 6% - - -
23 PIERCE Marcia M. 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
24 DUTTON Kitty 100% 12% 1% - - -
25 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.