NEUSFA D and Under

Div III Women's Épée

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Worcester Fencing Club - Worcester, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ORDORICA Abra 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
2 WILLIAMSON Beatrix - 4% 21% 45% 30%
3 SONG Charlotte 15% 41% 33% 10% 1%
3 NGUYEN Celena - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
5 SKLAR Davida (Didi) - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
6 STOCKTON Catherine 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
7 BANNERMAN Courtney - 3% 18% 43% 35%
8 AINA Tiffney 1% 12% 33% 39% 16%
9 PARSONS Leada - 4% 24% 55% 17%
10 MASTRONARDI Laura - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
11 POYNTON Cora 5% 29% 44% 20% 3%
12 BRODEUR Andrea - 4% 24% 47% 25%
13 SHEAHAN Emma 28% 43% 24% 5% -
14 ERIKSEN Kate 29% 43% 23% 5% -
15 WHEELER Michele L. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
16 MARASINI Bibhuti 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
17 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
18 BOYLE Bridget 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
19 MURTALA Aisha 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
20 NICHOLS Victoria 8% 31% 39% 19% 3%
21 KWAN LEONARD Emma 62% 32% 6% - -
22 SETO Karen - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
23 CROWDER Julia 9% 32% 39% 18% 3%
24 LIPPA Eliana 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
25 KERR Margaret E. 3% 21% 42% 30% 4%
26 MAES Heather J. 5% 35% 42% 16% 2%
27 LANGONE Ashlyn 3% 23% 43% 25% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.