NEUSFA D and Under

Div III Women's Épée

Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 4:30 PM

Worcester Fencing Club - Worcester, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ORDORICA Abra 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
2 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
3 SONG Charlotte 100% 85% 44% 11% 1%
3 NGUYEN Celena 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
5 SKLAR Davida (Didi) 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
6 STOCKTON Catherine 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
7 BANNERMAN Courtney 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
8 AINA Tiffney 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
9 PARSONS Leada 100% 100% 96% 72% 17%
10 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
11 POYNTON Cora 100% 95% 66% 23% 3%
12 BRODEUR Andrea 100% 100% 96% 72% 25%
13 SHEAHAN Emma 100% 72% 29% 5% -
14 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 71% 28% 5% -
15 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
16 MARASINI Bibhuti 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
17 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
18 BOYLE Bridget 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
19 MURTALA Aisha 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
20 NICHOLS Victoria 100% 92% 60% 22% 3%
21 KWAN LEONARD Emma 100% 38% 6% - -
22 SETO Karen 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
23 CROWDER Julia 100% 91% 59% 20% 3%
24 LIPPA Eliana 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
25 KERR Margaret E. 100% 97% 76% 34% 4%
26 MAES Heather J. 100% 95% 60% 18% 2%
27 LANGONE Ashlyn 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.