NEUSFA D and Under

Div III Men's Épée

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Worcester Fencing Club - Worcester, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 STEVENSON Ryan - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
2 MORI Seneca 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
3 BAZZANA Beniamino 1% 9% 29% 40% 18% 2%
3 BRASSARD Calvin - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
5 ASHLEY Logan 9% 34% 38% 17% 3%
6 MICKEY Christopher J. - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
7 URBANOWICZ Mathias 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
8 CHAVES Evan 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
9 STEIN Philip 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2%
10 GU Eric 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
11 PAGE Duncan - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
12 GREEN Logan - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
13 PANAS Mason 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
14 FOGEL Jake 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
15 MASSE Dean 43% 41% 14% 2% -
16 SPRINGER Elijah 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
17 BOISLARD Jacob R. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
18 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
19 HOLBROOK Joshua - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
20 WHITE Aidan 2% 14% 37% 36% 12%
21 CROTTY James 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
22 HAN Nathan 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
23 ZHANG Eric I. - 4% 32% 46% 16% 2%
24 ERIKSEN Casey 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
25 BENNETT Nathan 33% 42% 20% 4% -
26 FAUCHER James 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
27 BUMPUS Isaias 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
28 LONADIER Robert 60% 33% 7% 1% - -
29 CUFF Joe 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
30 SONPAL Winslow 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
31 VILLARS Philip 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
32 REINEKE Gerhard 8% 34% 39% 17% 3%
33 LU Eric 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
34 BENNETT Paul 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.