NEUSFA D and Under

Div III Men's Épée

Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Worcester Fencing Club - Worcester, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 MORI Seneca 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
3 BAZZANA Beniamino 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
3 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
5 ASHLEY Logan 100% 91% 58% 19% 3%
6 MICKEY Christopher J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
7 URBANOWICZ Mathias 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
8 CHAVES Evan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
9 STEIN Philip 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2%
10 GU Eric 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
11 PAGE Duncan 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
12 GREEN Logan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
13 PANAS Mason 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
14 FOGEL Jake 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
15 MASSE Dean 100% 57% 16% 2% -
16 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
17 BOISLARD Jacob R. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 13%
18 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
19 HOLBROOK Joshua 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 4%
20 WHITE Aidan 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
21 CROTTY James 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
22 HAN Nathan 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
23 ZHANG Eric I. 100% 100% 96% 64% 18% 2%
24 ERIKSEN Casey 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
25 BENNETT Nathan 100% 67% 25% 5% -
26 FAUCHER James 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
27 BUMPUS Isaias 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
28 LONADIER Robert 100% 40% 8% 1% - -
29 CUFF Joe 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
30 SONPAL Winslow 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
31 VILLARS Philip 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
32 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 92% 58% 20% 3%
33 LU Eric 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
34 BENNETT Paul 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.