2025 Bay State Games

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SPRINGER Sierra - - - - 14% 86%
2 LI Fei - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - - - 1% 17% 82%
3 DHAIYA Tanya - 3% 18% 40% 33% 5%
5 XU Serena - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
6 WANG Sophie Y. - - 3% 25% 63% 8%
7 HOAGLAND Sally - 4% 21% 44% 28% 2%
8 LI Alice - 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
9 WILLIAMSON Beatrix - 6% 24% 40% 26% 5%
10 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) - 4% 20% 44% 30% 2%
11 XU Mulan 18% 43% 32% 7% - -
12 CHEN Allison 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
13 ZHANG Jane 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
14 POYNTON Cora 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
15 SKLAR Davida 1% 9% 34% 46% 10% -
16 SONKU Mira 11% 37% 38% 13% 1% -
17 YU Eva 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 2%
18 STOCKTON Catherine 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
19 LE NOC’H Farrah 17% 43% 32% 7% - -
20 NGUYEN Celena 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
21 BOYLE Bridget 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% -
22 YOUN Emily 20% 44% 29% 6% - -
23 TIBBETTS Lily 17% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
24 MURTALA Aisha 30% 44% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.