2025 Bay State Games

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 86%
2 LI Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
5 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
6 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 71% 8%
7 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 2%
8 LI Alice 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 5%
9 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
10 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 2%
11 XU Mulan 100% 82% 39% 7% - -
12 CHEN Allison 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
13 ZHANG Jane 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
14 POYNTON Cora 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
15 SKLAR Davida 100% 99% 90% 57% 11% -
16 SONKU Mira 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% -
17 YU Eva 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
18 STOCKTON Catherine 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
19 LE NOC’H Farrah 100% 83% 40% 7% - -
20 NGUYEN Celena 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
21 BOYLE Bridget 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
22 YOUN Emily 100% 80% 36% 6% - -
23 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
24 MURTALA Aisha 100% 70% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.