Emik Kaidanov Memorial Tournament

Men's Épée

Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
2 TRITHART Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
3 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 97% 77% 34% 5%
3 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
5 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
6 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
7 YAO Ryan 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
8 DELONG Joshua 100% 97% 75% 33% 5%
9 SAKO Ayrton 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
10 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
11 MARKOWITZ William 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
12 LEHFELDT Damien 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
13 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
14 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 94% 60% 19% 2%
15 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
16 EVANS George 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
17 PRAKASH Rahul 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
18 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
19 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
20 BROSNAN Solomon 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
21 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 77% 35% 7% 1% -
22 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
23 MOLINA Rommel 100% 47% 10% 1% -
24 RAMEY Daylon 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
25 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
26 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
27 WU Shaochi 100% 99% 93% 68% 25% 3%
28 HALE Bradley 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
29 JARRATT Isaac 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% -
30 WU Jiachen 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
31 YAO Aiden 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
32 COHEN Dylan 100% 94% 56% 19% 3% - -
33 LEVILLAIN Pierre-Antoine 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% -
33 BROADBELT Kirk 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
35 FENG Xinmin 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
37 KONG Ethan 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.