2025 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Aidan - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
2 LI Aaron - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 CHENG Ethan - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
3 TANG Terry - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
5 LIU Derek - - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
6 LI Bradley - - - - 2% 21% 77%
7 ZHAO Brian - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10% 1%
8 WANG Rory - - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9%
9 FENG Michael - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
10 CHUA Kirby - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
11 SABATINO Patrick 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
12 GATES Combustion 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
13 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
14 LAO Kevin 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
15 DJONOUMA Toyohm 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
16 BRILLANTES Luke 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
17 ABRAMKIN Tim 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
18 DAVIDSON Elliot - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
19 ZHENG Harrison 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
20 DENG Kenny 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
21 ZHAO Brandon 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
22 JABLOKOV Roman 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
23 WU Michael - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
24 LI Ayren - 1% 5% 20% 40% 31% 3%
25 SENANI Arjun 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
26 BUCOURT Vincent 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
27 SFINTESCU Alex 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
28 TAM Kyle 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
29 STAFFORD Gareth - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
30 JIN Andy - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9% -
31 BERETICH Brian 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
32 WANG Luke 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
33 MCENTEE Owen 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
34 SHAMBARGER Graham 24% 46% 24% 5% - - -
35 TIBBETTS Justin 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.