2025 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 1, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
3 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
5 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
6 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
7 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11% 1%
8 WANG Rory 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
9 FENG Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
10 CHUA Kirby 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
11 SABATINO Patrick 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
12 GATES Combustion 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
13 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
14 LAO Kevin 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
15 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
16 BRILLANTES Luke 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
17 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
18 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
19 ZHENG Harrison 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
20 DENG Kenny 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
21 ZHAO Brandon 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
22 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
23 WU Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
24 LI Ayren 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 3%
25 SENANI Arjun 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
26 BUCOURT Vincent 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
27 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
28 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 4% -
29 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
30 JIN Andy 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% -
31 BERETICH Brian 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
32 WANG Luke 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
33 MCENTEE Owen 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
34 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 76% 30% 6% - - -
35 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.