Ataba Fencing Club June Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
3 ALI Adam 100% 97% 78% 39% 8% 1%
3 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
5 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
6 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
7 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 97% 78% 31% 3%
8 WANG David 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 11%
9 BARTOSZUK Camilla 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
10 PAULSEN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
11 SCHERG Caleb 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
12 SWENSON Diego 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
13 MCCORD Jack 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
14 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
15 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
16 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% -
17 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
18 BELZER Joseph 100% 77% 32% 6% - -
19 KIRSCHNER Corey 100% 96% 73% 31% 4% -
20 AMICH Steve J. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
21 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
22 MANIANGLUNG Jean 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% -
23 MISIOURA Mark 100% 64% 19% 2% - -
24 ALLER Bruce 100% 62% 16% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.