NEUSFA 2025 Pomme De Terre

Senior Women's Épée

Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEREGIN Katya - - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
2 WANG Zoe - - - 1% 13% 44% 42%
3 SMUK Alexandra S. - - 3% 25% 47% 25%
3 FENG Ge - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
5 SPRINGER Sierra - - - 2% 20% 79%
6 PRIHODKO Nina - - 1% 11% 37% 40% 11%
7 SONG Angela - - 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
8 YU Nicole J. - - - 7% 53% 39%
9 CAFASSO Natalya - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
10 CALDWELL Phoebe - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
11 SMUK Daria A. - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
12 GAAFAR Rodaina - - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
13 XU Serena - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
14 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - - 2% 15% 46% 38%
15 LI Alice 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% 1%
16 BISONO Valentina 4% 35% 42% 16% 2% -
17 FURMAN Maria - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
18 TOLLEY Toby - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
19 NOVOJILOV Anastasia - - 6% 27% 46% 19% 2%
20 DEPOMMIER-GONZALEZ Isabelle - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
21 SKLAR Davida 6% 27% 43% 22% 2% -
22 PROKOP Jeannine A. - 3% 35% 46% 16%
23 WANG Sophie Y. - 2% 15% 40% 38% 4%
24 LI Fei - 1% 17% 47% 34%
25 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% - -
26 ORDORICA Abra 5% 35% 39% 17% 3% - -
28 SAVNER Jessica L. - - 3% 25% 47% 25%
29 CAMPBELL Anahit M. - - 6% 36% 43% 15%
30 SONG Charlotte 39% 48% 13% 1% - -
31 SU Evelyn - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
32 NGUYEN Celena 3% 20% 43% 27% 6% - -
33 YU Eva 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
34 COVINO Mila 41% 42% 14% 2% < 1% -
35 HOAGLAND Sally - 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
36 KAUR Manroop - 5% 26% 44% 22% 3%
37 DUNNE Jessica 25% 45% 25% 5% - -
38 WESER Veronica U. - 2% 29% 48% 20%
39 ERSHOVA Anastasia 3% 27% 45% 21% 3% -
40 GIELEGHEM Klaire - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
41 ZULUAGA Sofia - - 2% 12% 37% 39% 10%
42 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
43 DRON Lily - 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
44 CHOWRIRA Reynah 27% 47% 21% 4% - - -
45 KLAUSZ Izabella 8% 72% 18% 2% - - -
46 MONOVA Lilyana - 3% 17% 40% 34% 7%
47 FENG Iris 4% 24% 43% 26% 2% -
48 CHOY Ida - 6% 26% 42% 23% 3%
48 BI Michelle 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
50 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - < 1% 5% 46% 49%
51 MARCHANT Morgan 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
52 XIAO Katelyn 8% 34% 39% 16% 2% - -
53 GUO Callista 6% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
54 LI Yixin Catherine 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 3% -
55 BENNETT Olivia - 7% 28% 43% 19% 3% -
56 BYRON Karen J. - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
57 WITTE Vera - - < 1% 3% 21% 50% 25%
58 LIU Ilana 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
59 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 4% 26% 52% 16% 2% -
60 MURTALA Aisha 59% 38% 3% - -
61 JENSEN MJ 4% 22% 41% 27% 7% -
62 MASTRONARDI Laura 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
63 MONTOYA Amy C. - < 1% 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
64 BARMAN Willa - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
65 PHELAN Gabrielle 2% 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
66 JONES Brenda L. - 1% 17% 40% 32% 10% 1%
67 GLOVER Cynthia E. - < 1% 4% 20% 43% 29% 5%
67 STOCKTON Catherine 21% 47% 27% 5% - - -
69 LE NOC’H Farrah 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
70 ERIKSEN Kate 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
71 CARNEY Jennifer 62% 32% 6% 1% - - -
72 QUADRI Saira 30% 59% 10% 1% -
73 CUFF Addison 68% 28% 4% - - - -
74 SCHAU DeHavilland 34% 51% 15% 1% - -
75 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 74% 24% 2% - - -
76 DIOH Nicole 89% 11% - - - - -
77 MA Yanlei 38% 43% 17% 2% - -
78 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 18% 42% 31% 8% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.